When will we create an AGI? Ask the crowd!
In his great book about the future of AI, “The Fourth Age” (highly recommended!), GigaOM CEO Byron Reese (Twitter) hypothetically asks WHEN will we create that mysterious Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), if at all. He says that he gets different answers from different people. And therein lies the answer. In “Wisdom of Crowds” by James Surowiecki (2004, Little Brown publishing) shows that, oddly enough, if you ask a large enough number of people to guess the number of something, add up the answer, then divide by the number of people asked, the resulting number – the average – is eerily...Read more